Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.043938 0.047899 0.051920 0.056301 0.060934 0.065679 0.070900
2025-01-05 0.037846 0.043651 0.049769 0.056670 0.064209 0.072171 0.081189
2025-01-12 0.032467 0.039486 0.047141 0.056046 0.066061 0.076914 0.089506
2025-01-19 0.029012 0.037024 0.046034 0.056803 0.069212 0.082953 0.099211
2025-01-26 0.025464 0.034075 0.044052 0.056287 0.070707 0.086992 0.106600
2025-02-02 0.022906 0.032033 0.042900 0.056534 0.072927 0.091755 0.114765
2025-02-09 0.021153 0.030790 0.042549 0.057604 0.076018 0.097476 0.124028
2025-02-16 0.020253 0.030518 0.043308 0.059962 0.080623 0.104983 0.135434
2025-02-23 0.017536 0.027665 0.040637 0.057899 0.079703 0.105790 0.138812
2025-03-02 0.015720 0.025861 0.039172 0.057229 0.080394 0.108462 0.144368
2025-03-09 0.014213 0.024356 0.037989 0.056821 0.081335 0.111383 0.150195
2025-03-16 0.013726 0.024248 0.038642 0.058789 0.085290 0.118042 0.160637
2025-03-23 0.012874 0.023578 0.038525 0.059765 0.088038 0.123308 0.169530
2025-03-30 0.012027 0.022851 0.038281 0.060544 0.090525 0.128268 0.178099
2025-04-06 0.010880 0.021575 0.037189 0.060105 0.091373 0.131133 0.184055
2025-04-13 0.010229 0.021024 0.037097 0.061017 0.094000 0.136277 0.192913
2025-04-20 0.009254 0.019868 0.036052 0.060538 0.094719 0.138941 0.198625
2025-04-27 0.008567 0.019131 0.035582 0.060833 0.096460 0.142923 0.206028
2025-05-04 0.008147 0.018812 0.035717 0.061978 0.099356 0.148420 0.215401
2025-05-11 0.008072 0.019088 0.036771 0.064469 0.104133 0.156430 0.228078
2025-05-18 0.006964 0.017421 0.034704 0.062304 0.102377 0.155753 0.229459
2025-05-25 0.006264 0.016436 0.033660 0.061602 0.102624 0.157709 0.234255
2025-06-01 0.005680 0.015611 0.032827 0.061175 0.103229 0.160126 0.239650